Trader placed $200k bet on Polymarket right before NYT poll dropped

Researchers at Vanderbilt University flagged a suspicious trade on Polymarket. On October 31, one user wagered nearly $200,000 on Nebraska Senator Pete Ricketts winning re-election.

An hour later, the New York Times/Siena poll came out showing Ricketts ahead. The bet paid out more than $77,000 in profit.

The same trader made similar large wagers on Kalshi as well. Brett Goldstein from the university’s national security institute says the pattern is hard to dismiss as random and needs scrutiny.

Polymarket said it has already started reviewing the transactions.

Based on information from cryptonews.net